The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December is currently at 86.4%, remaining at a high level.

BlockBeats News, November 30, according to CME "FedWatch" data, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December is currently reported at 86.4%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged in December is 13.6%. Since the unexpected decline in U.S. initial jobless claims on November 26, the probability of a rate cut has remained high.

The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep rates unchanged until January 2026 is 10%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 67%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 23%.

The next two FOMC meeting dates are December 10 and January 28, 2026.