Kpler ma'lumotlariga ko‘ra: Hormuz bo‘g‘ozidagi neft oqimi urushdan oldingi darajaga qaytdi, xalqaro neft narxi ertalab pasaydi.

智通财经2026/10/05 06:36

Asl nusxasini ko'rsatish

① Kpler shipping data analysis company reported that crude oil outflow from the Strait of Hormuz has returned to pre-war levels. Influenced by this news, international crude oil prices fell in the early trading session, but Brent crude oil remains above $100, quoted at $101.20 per barrel, and WTI crude oil is quoted at $89.73 per barrel. Both major types recorded actual gains compared to last Friday’s closing price, indicating that some traders are waiting for solid evidence of shipping improvement. ② Kpler's preliminary data shows that from September 27-29, daily crude oil flow through the Strait of Hormuz ranged between 19.5 to 22.5 million barrels, about twice the amount a month ago. Despite continuous attacks on Saudi energy infrastructure and oil tankers in the strait, crude oil transport volumes have been restored. ③ Previously, Kpler revealed that shipping flow in the strait still was below the ten-day moving average, causing energy market participants to worry about supply. Even though oil tanker attacks occur, some market participants believe the impact of such attacks on oil prices is limited. ④ The data also shows that liquefied natural gas flow in the Strait of Hormuz has returned to pre-war levels. Qatar Energy is currently in a force majeure state for exports and is procuring LNG spot cargoes to fulfill long-term contract orders. However, with emergency purchases alone, it is difficult for Qatar to restore LNG exports to pre-war scale.

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⑴Kpler yuk tashish ma'lumotlarini tahlil qiluvchi tashkilotining hisobotiga ko‘ra, Hormuz bo‘g‘ozidan xom neft eksporti hajmi yana urushgacha bo‘lgan darajaga yetdi. Ushbu xabardan so‘ng, xalqaro xom neft narxi tonggi savdolarda pasaydi, biroq Brent xom neftining narxi 100 AQSh dollaridan yuqorida saqlanib turibdi — 101,20 dollar/barrel, WTI xom nefti esa 89,73 dollar/barrelni tashkil qilmoqda; ikkala asosiy turdagi xom neft narxi o‘tgan juma yopilish narxi bilan taqqoslaganda amalda oshgan, bu esa savdogarlarning bir qismi yuk tashish sohasida yaxshilanish bo‘yicha ishonchli dalillarni kutayotganini ko‘rsatadi.⑵Kpler dastlabki ma’lumotlariga ko‘ra, 27-29 sentabr kunlari Hormuz bo‘g‘ozidan o‘rtacha kunlik xom neft oqimi 19,5 milliondan 22,5 million barrelgacha bo‘lgan, bu bir oy avvalgiga nisbatan deyarli ikki barobar ko‘p. Saudiya Arabistonining energetika infratuzilmasi va bo‘g‘oz ichidagi tankerlar hujumlarga uchragan bo‘lsada, xom neft tashish hajmi tiklandi.⑶Bundan avval Kpler, bo‘g‘ozdagi yuk tashish hajmi hali ham o‘n kunlik harakatlanuvchi o‘rtacha ko‘rsatkichdan past ekanligini bildirgan va bu energetika bozoridagi ishtirokchilarda ta’minotga oid xavotirlarni kuchaytirgan edi. Yana shuni aytish mumkinki, tankerlar hujumga uchragan holatlarda ham, ayrim ishtirokchilar ushbu hodisalarning narxlarga ta’siri cheklangan deb hisoblamoqda.⑷Ma’lumotlarga ko‘ra, Hormuz bo‘g‘ozidan o‘tadigan suyultirilgan tabiiy gaz hajmi ham urushgacha bo‘lgan darajaga qaytdi. Qatar Energy hozirda eksportda fors-major holati saqlanib qolayotgani, ular uzoq muddatli kelishuv shartlarini bajarish uchun hali ham spot LNG xarid qilayotgani aytilmoqda. Biroq faqat favqulodda xaridlar hisobiga ushbu mamlakat LNG eksportini urushgacha bo‘lgan ko‘lamga qaytarishi qiyin.

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