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Michael Burry Calls Anthropic's Valuation a Bubble Worth 78 S&P 500 Companies

Michael Burry Calls Anthropic's Valuation a Bubble Worth 78 S&P 500 Companies

BeInCryptoBeInCrypto2026/10/08 05:00
Michael Burry says Anthropics valuation could buy 78 profitable companies in the SP 500, a price he calls a bubble. The list includes Dominos, Clorox, lululemon, and Hormel Foods, though Burry did not say which Anthropic valuation he used. The companys last private round, in May, priced it at $965 billion ahead of a planned initial public offering (IPO). How Does Anthropics Valuation Stack Up Against UPS? In his Substack post, Burry also benchmarked the figure against the 1990s. He said United Parcel Service (UPS) held the 1990 to 2000 record for inflation-adjusted pre-IPO valuations, at $119 billion. That price equaled 26 times earnings and 2.4 times sales, Burry said. UPS was 92 years old and earned a net margin of about 8.6%. A fun game in times like these is to go to the SP 500 Index and see how many profitable companies one can buy with the bubble private company valuation. Anthropic, by contrast, was founded in 2021. Its leaked draft prospectus shows a $42 billion net loss for 2025, Fortune reported. Reuters reported that most of the loss was an accounting charge rather than operating spending. However, the same filing shows $11.5 billion in second-quarter 2026 revenue and points to a second straight operating profit. It also lists $518 billion in planned cloud and infrastructure spending in coming years. Will Public Markets Pay for Growth Before Profit? Altimeter Capital, Dragoneer, Greenoaks, and Sequoia Capital led the $65 billion round that set the $965 billion mark, CNBC reported. Prospective investors now put fair value between $1.8 trillion and $2 trillion. Anthropic is targeting a listing before Thanksgiving, according to the same report. The post follows Burrys stock market warnings. On Oct. 5, he said stocks sit in a denial stage he expects to last six to nine months. Days after the May round, he told Substack subscribers that Anthropics long-term worth near $1 trillion was far from assured. A listing near $2 trillion would test whether public investors pay for revenue growth ahead of earnings. Reuters reported that analysts see the first AI lab to list as the pricing reference for the sector. Read the article at BeInCrypto
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In September, Japanese investors withdrew from foreign bond markets for the second consecutive month.

Reuters, October 8 – In September, Japanese investors became net sellers of foreign bonds for the second consecutive month, driven by rising borrowing costs in the US and Europe, as well as increasingly attractive domestic yields that prompted them to withdraw from overseas bond markets. Data released by Japan's Ministry of Finance on Tuesday showed that Japanese investors were net sellers of 969 billion yen ($613 million) in foreign bonds last month, which was lower than the previous month's net sales of 1.16 trillion yen. They net sold 1.43 trillion yen in long-term foreign currency bonds—a six-month high—while purchasing about 457 billion yen in short-term notes. The increase in Japanese interest rates is beginning to attract some of the country's vast overseas investments back home, marking a significant shift in global capital flows. Year to date, Japanese investors have net sold about 5.08 trillion yen in foreign bonds, the highest since 2022. This capital outflow could support the yen’s exchange rate and put pressure on bond markets that have long considered Japan a major buyer. Soaring energy costs have heightened inflation concerns, prompting the Federal Reserve (FED) and the European Central Bank to raise interest rates in September, which has further pressured global bond markets. Earlier this week, Japan's benchmark 10-year government bond yield rose to 3.122%, its highest in 30 years, increasing the appeal of domestic bonds. In September, led by the Bank of Japan, Japanese institutions sold a net 2.49 trillion yen in long-term foreign bonds, a seven-month high. Life insurance companies and investment trust managers also recorded net sales of 288.6 billion yen and 200.1 billion yen respectively. However, trust accounts net purchased 1.2 trillion yen in long-term foreign currency bonds, highlighting divergent investment strategies among Japanese institutional investors. Another Bank of Japan report showed that in the first eight months of this year, Japanese investors net sold 4.74 trillion yen in US Treasuries, while net purchasing 355.85 billion yen in European bonds. Within Europe, Japanese investors net bought 329.82 billion yen in Italian bonds, while net selling 208.59 billion yen and 94.25 billion yen in French and German bonds, respectively. (1 US dollar = 158.1400 yen)

路透社•2026/10/08 05:26
In September, Japanese investors withdrew from foreign bond markets for the second consecutive month.