Update: Wall Street Rises at End of Losing Week Amid Inflation Worries
MT newswire2026/09/11 20:53Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
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"New Federal Reserve News Agency": The Federal Reserve is set to raise interest rates next week, but a single rate hike won't solve the problem
Nick Timiraos from "The New Federal Reserve News Agency" recently wrote that investors have largely concluded that the Federal Reserve will make its first interest rate hike in three years next week, but the harder question is what will happen afterward. Since almost no one inside the Fed believes that a single 25 basis point rate hike is enough to bring down inflation, a decision to raise rates next week would reflect the judgment that rates were previously set at the wrong level, and a single hike cannot solve the problem. Since the 1990s, the Fed has only had one "one-time" rate hike.
SUI price tests $0.70 support as analysts set targets at $0.84 and $0.92
WTI crude oil net long positions hit a 20-week high as the Trump administration considers invoking the Defense Production Act to expand refining capacity
Refinery executives stated that it takes several years for new refineries to become operational, and they prefer to improve the efficiency of existing refineries. Currently, the average price of diesel in the United States has surpassed $6 per gallon for the first time, gasoline prices remain high, and refinery operating rates have reached approximately 98%. According to CFTC data, for the week ending September 8, net long positions in NYMEX WTI crude oil reached a 20-week high, and net long positions in gasoline hit a 9-month high.
After CPI, Investment Banks "Tear Up Reports": No Rate Hike Faction "Surrenders" This Year, Hawks Bet on Three Hikes by January Next Year
TD Securities has shifted to a more hawkish outlook, changing its forecast from no rate hikes for the year to three increases by January next year. JP Morgan now expects rate hikes in September and December, with a pause in October. MUFG expects a pause after a September hike, with the highest probability (60%) of another hike in December. Citigroup expects a rate hike in September, followed by no changes, and then rate cuts resuming in June next year.