Lighthouse Canton says Middle East ceasefire breakdown keeps energy trade “still working” as Brent holds above USD 90/bbl
Reuters2026/09/08 06:43- Lighthouse Canton flagged a breakdown in the April 8 ceasefire, citing resumed conflict and renewed pressure across key market transmission channels.
- US reimposed a naval blockade in early August; Sept. 1 marked a sixth day of US strikes, followed by a multi-front Iranian response.
- Rates shock deepened: 10-year US Treasury yield moved above 4.79%; 30-year reached 5.27%; fed funds imply 66% hike odds.
- Brent held above USD 90/bbl; the note kept a long stance in energy and fertilizers, framing a prolonged impasse as supportive.
- It trimmed tanker shipping into strength; it maintained defense exposure; it reduced ITM TLT puts, shifting them to protection.
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