Citi Survey sees Banxico frozen as Peso holds below 18.00

Citi Mexico released its September “Expectations Survey,” in which most private economists expect the Bank of Mexico (Banxico) to hold rates unchanged, while the exchange rate is forecast to end below the 18.00 threshold by the end of 2026.

The poll showed that most economists expect the main reference rate to be at 6.50% at least until the end of 2027, with the range fluctuating between 6.25% and 6.75%. The USD/MXN is expected to end at 17.50 by the end of the current year, and for the end of 2027, the consensus see the exotic pair at 18.07, down from 18.24.

Regarding inflation, it is expected to finish at 4% for 2026, while the core component is expected to end at 4% as well, according to the survey.

Mexico’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is forecast to end 2026 at 1.3%, up from 1.2% YoY, according to the survey. For 2027, respondents expect the economy to grow by 1.8%, as in the previous survey, with estimates ranging from 1.0% to 2.3%.