Rapeseed prices follow the decline of external oils, with technical support remaining stable for now, while harvest progress affects short-term sentiment.
智通财经2026/08/26 14:06Show original
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- Intercontinental Exchange Canada canola futures fluctuated lower in early Wednesday trading, mainly pressured by widespread weakness across external vegetable oil markets. This included declines in crude oil, Chicago soybean oil, European rapeseed oil, and Malaysian palm oil, though gains in Chicago soybeans and soybean meal partially offset the losses.
- The benchmark November contract fell below the 20-day moving average, but remains above other key technical levels, indicating that short-term selling pressure has not yet fully disrupted the upward structure. There is ongoing contention between bulls and bears near the moving averages.
- Crushing margins narrowed simultaneously; the November contract's corresponding crushing profit dropped by more than 13 Canadian dollars compared to the previous day, with the per-tonne premium over futures retreating to the 259 to 264 Canadian dollar range. This reflects a slightly weaker willingness from processors to absorb raw material costs.
- Harvest progress for canola in central Manitoba is around 5%, making it the only one of the province’s five farming regions to report progress. Early harvesting data is still insufficient to provide a trend indication, but upcoming weather and yield verification will gradually come into focus.
- The Canadian dollar weakened slightly in the early session to about 72.08 US cents, providing some exchange rate support for the Canadian dollar-denominated futures prices. However, overall trading was subdued, with about 13,000 contracts traded as of the early session, as the market waits for clearer supply and demand signals to determine direction.
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