BTC.com’s Jiang Zhuoer: Bitcoin’s sideways movement will trigger FOMO again, and it is recommended to enter the market fully before the end of October.

Founder Jiang Zhuoer and BTC.com released an updated historical cycle comparison chart, suggesting that the recent Bitcoin low point at $57,800 may represent the main bottom of the current cycle. 

Zhuoer compared four historical cycles using their bull market peaks as a benchmark, and believes the duration and scale of this correction are essentially the same as the previous three cycles. He thinks that many market participants have already missed the initial rally, and a period of sideways consolidation will reignite the “fear of missing out” sentiment, thus greatly reducing the possibility of a significant further decline in the market.

Zhuoer compared this correction to the “golden dip” opportunity at the end of 2021, reminding investors that any upcoming pullbacks might be short-lived. He reiterated a clear strategy for investors still on the sidelines: if Bitcoin falls back to the $67,000 to $72,000 range and selling pressure clearly weakens, investors should enter the market immediately. Otherwise, regardless of the specific price level, positions should be built at current market prices before the end of October. 

“Missing the entire future bull market is much scarier than missing this small rally in front of you,” he said. Zhuoer also reviewed his recent trading history, admitting that his prior bearish stance was “completely wrong,” and explained that his ability to capture the August rebound was not due to precise trend prediction, but thanks to a rigorous swing trading strategy, automatic price alerts, and the liquidity advantages of perpetual contracts. 

He noted that without these structural safeguards, he probably would have continued holding cash just like other cycle theorists fully in stablecoins.

Ethereum's Structural Outperformance and Macro Catalysts

Zhuoer's analysis goes beyond Bitcoin itself, pointing out that Ethereum is the main engine in the emerging bull market, not just a secondary beneficiary of Bitcoin's rise. He observed that after an initial rally, the ETH/BTC ratio saw a second wave of appreciation, which he interprets as decisive evidence of Ethereum’s structural leadership. 

He believes the fundamental catalyst is a major shift in the U.S. attitude toward blockchain technology. The Donald Trump administration’s embrace of on-chain infrastructure is expected to drive massive tokenization of U.S. financial assets—including the dollar, stocks, and bonds—thereby expanding global financial freedom through markets powered by smart contracts. 

Zhuoer believes these macro tailwinds will allow Ethereum to outperform Bitcoin throughout the cycle. He gave examples of target prices—for instance, if the ETH/BTC rate reaches 0.1 and Bitcoin’s price hits $200,000, Ethereum could reach $20,000—but he emphasized these numbers are illustrative and not calculated. Throughout his commentary, Zhuoer repeatedly stressed that predictions are probabilistic, and strict execution and risk management are key. “Prediction isn’t what matters,” he noted. “Execution is what’s important: hold if the prediction is right; stop out if it’s wrong.”