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Tractor Supply Q2 sales slightly miss estimates on seasonal, discretionary categories weakness

Tractor Supply Q2 sales slightly miss estimates on seasonal, discretionary categories weakness

ReutersReuters2026/07/23 11:09
By:Reuters


Overview

  • US rural lifestyle retailer's Q2 net sales rose 2.3%, slightly missing analyst expectations

  • Adjusted EPS for Q2 missed analyst expectations

  • Comparable store sales fell 1.5% due to weak May performance in seasonal and discretionary categories


Outlook

  • Company sees fiscal 2026 net sales up 2.5% to 3.5%

  • Tractor Supply expects fiscal 2026 comparable store sales between down 1% and flat

  • Company projects fiscal 2026 adjusted EPS of $1.90 to $2.00


Result Drivers

  • SEASONAL AND DISCRETIONARY WEAKNESS - Co said May results were pressured by softness in seasonal categories, including big-ticket items, and lower spending in discretionary categories

  • CONSUMABLE CATEGORIES RESILIENT - Co said consumable, usable and edible categories remained resilient overall, partially offsetting headwinds

  • HIGHER SGA EXPENSES - Co said adjusted SGA expenses rose due to deleverage from lower comparable store sales and higher medical claims and legal settlement expenses


Company press release: ID:nBw5MctQLa


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q2 Sales

Slight Miss*

$4.54 bln

$4.58 bln (22 Analysts)

Q2 Adjusted EPS

Miss

$0.81

$0.82 (26 Analysts)

Q2 EPS

$0.69

Q2 Gross Margin

37.10%

Q2 Comparable Store Sales Growth

-1.50%

*Applies to a deviation of less than 1%; not applicable for per-share numbers.


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 15 "strong buy" or "buy", 16 "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the miscellaneous specialty retailers peer group is "buy"

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Tractor Supply Co is $37.50, about 27.7% above its July 22 closing price of $29.36

  • The stock recently traded at 14 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 20 three months ago


Reuters Recommended Reads

  • July 21 - Genuine Parts cuts full-year profit forecast on inflation, weaker consumer spending

  • July 23 - How the hunt for value sparked a U.S. private-label revolution


For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact reuters.support@thomsonreuters.com.


(This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)

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Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

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