Santander CIB: ECB terminal rate range expectations remain robust, currently presents tactical opportunities for going long on front-end rates

智通财经2026/07/22 05:36

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Santander CIB Global Head of Economics Antonio Garcia Pascual stated in a report that front-end eurozone rates are expected to remain within the market's consensus range for the European Central Bank's terminal deposit rate (2.50%–2.75%).
He added that as long as oil price movements do not exceed the European Central Bank's moderate and baseline scenario assumptions, this rate range is likely to remain stable.
Based on current rate levels, the institution believes that there is once again an opportunity to establish tactical long positions on front-end eurozone rates.
The European Central Bank raised rates by 25 basis points in June, lifting the deposit rate to 2.25%. The market generally expects the bank to keep rates unchanged at its policy meeting on Thursday.

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