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James Reilly, Senior Market Economist at Capital Economics, stated in a report that the yield spread between 10-year and 2-year US Treasury bonds is expected to narrow further in the coming months and may lead to an inverted yield curve. We believe the ongoing tensions in the Strait of Hormuz could result in a complete inversion of the yield curve. Amid the surge in real yields on 2-year Treasuries, real yields have been driving the flattening of the yield curve. As investor expectations for in

James Reilly, Senior Market Economist at Capital Economics, stated in a report that the yield spread between 10-year and 2-year US Treasury bonds is expected to narrow further in the coming months and may lead to an inverted yield curve. We believe the ongoing tensions in the Strait of Hormuz could result in a complete inversion of the yield curve. Amid the surge in real yields on 2-year Treasuries, real yields have been driving the flattening of the yield curve. As investor expectations for in

智通财经智通财经2026/07/21 06:27
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James Reilly, Senior Market Economist at Capital Economics, stated in a report that the spread between the 10-year and 2-year US Treasury yields is expected to narrow further in the coming months and may lead to a yield curve inversion. We believe that the ongoing escalation of tensions in the Strait of Hormuz could result in a complete inversion of the yield curve. Amid the surge in 2-year real yields, real yields have driven the flattening of the yield curve. As investors’ expectations for interest rates continue to rise, we expect the 2-year and 10-year Treasury yield curve to flatten in the coming months.
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