In Xiaobao Community Livestream: When Panic Meets Peace Talks—The Macro Logic Behind Today's Market Trends

Click the link to join the meeting: https://meeting.tencent.com/p/7277739262 Today's crypto market news is generally positive. After an early morning “plunge,” the market rebounded, but macro uncertainty still exists. 【Market Reversal: From Plunge to Rebound】 This morning, the market experienced a moment of panic-driven decline triggered by tensions between the US and Iran: · Morning Plunge: Bitcoin fell below $65,000 (lowest $64,785), with liquidations across the network totaling nearly $200 million in one hour, 96% of which were long positions. · Afternoon Rebound: Expectations of easing tensions drove the rebound. As of this afternoon, Bitcoin jumped over 3% to approach $68,000, and Ethereum soared more than 4%. The AI sector led the gains (+2.35%), with SIREN up over 13%. 【Key Variable: Middle East Situation Dominates Market Sentiment】 Today's trend revolved around swift changes in geopolitical risk: · Cause of Decline: Iran warned that the residences of US and Israeli commanders had been listed as “legitimate military targets,” sending oil prices surging and denting risk appetite. · Rebound Catalyst: Pakistan is preparing to mediate US-Iran peace talks, and diplomats from both sides have agreed to meet, easing concerns of escalating conflict. 【Regulation and Institutional Developments】 · Regulatory Update: Washington State sued the prediction market Kalshi; Canada intends to ban crypto asset political donations. · Bill Impact: Analysts warn that if the “CLARITY Act” passes, it may put bearish pressure on DeFi tokens. · Capital Flows Diverge: Bitcoin ETFs saw inflows, but Ethereum ETFs experienced a net outflow of $207 million last week, showing a preference for BTC. Today is a typical “news-driven market” — from Iran’s tough warning sparking sell-offs, to expectations of peace talks fueling a rebound, resulting in sharp price swings. The market remains highly sensitive, so it's advisable to closely watch Fed Chair Powell’s speech on Monday and Friday’s non-farm payrolls data. Live explanations are underway on current market trading strategies and indicator usage.