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Goldman Sachs: If the Iran war impacts economic growth, the dollar's rally will fade

Goldman Sachs: If the Iran war impacts economic growth, the dollar's rally will fade

华尔街见闻华尔街见闻2026/03/24 17:29
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If the foreign exchange and interest rate markets shift their focus from the consequences of inflation to concerns about economic growth, the rise of the US dollar may slow down. A focus on growth risks will lead to the Japanese yen and Swiss franc appreciating against the US dollar, while the outlook for emerging market currencies will “deteriorate significantly.” Prolonged wars will harm the growth and currency outlook of Europe and Asia; furthermore, the longer the conflict lasts, the more difficult it becomes for inflation risks to decrease.
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