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The EU advances gas storage planning, moving the energy security defense line forward

The EU advances gas storage planning, moving the energy security defense line forward

汇通财经汇通财经2026/03/21 10:14
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⑴ To mitigate the energy shock caused by the Iran war, EU energy officials have advised member states to begin filling natural gas inventories as soon as possible. The EU Energy Commissioner recommends that governments lower their gas storage targets to 80% and fully utilize the flexibility provided by EU law. ⑵ According to current regulations, countries can deviate by 10 percentage points from the 80% target, and if market conditions are unfavorable, they can further deviate by 5 percentage points. Member states must fulfill their storage obligations by December 1, with the time window brought forward compared to previous years, reflecting the EU’s proactive concern for winter supply security. ⑶ Currently, shipping in the Strait of Hormuz continues to be disrupted, coupled with the escalating oil transit dispute between Hungary and Ukraine, Europe faces uncertainty in both LNG imports and pipeline gas. By lowering storage targets and expanding deviation margins, the EU is essentially providing member states with greater operational flexibility against the backdrop of heightened supply risks. ⑷ From a trading perspective, funds have consecutively increased WTI net long positions for nine weeks, and the supply premium in the crude oil market has partially transmitted to natural gas pricing. If the situation in the Middle East escalates further or Eastern European pipeline gas is blocked again, the European natural gas market may face a more complex supply-demand game during the inventory filling window.
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