Fed’s Waller: Do not think there is a need to consider rate hikes

101 finance2026/03/20 14:00

By:101 finance

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Christopher Waller, a member of the Federal Reserve (Fed), said that based on the jobs report alone, he was planning to dissent in the monetary policy decision, but inflation has become more of a concern. He added that he now expects labor force growth to be near zero in a live interview with CNBC on Friday.

Key takeaways

Based on the jobs report was planning to dissent, but since then, inflation has become more of a concern.

Also now expects labor force growth to be close to zero, which changes the breakeven level of job growth.

Zero job growth does not seem "normal," but that is what the math may indicate will keep the unemployment rate stable.

If oil stays high for months on end at some point it bleeds into core inflation.

A high and persistent oil shock would not have a transitory impact on inflation.

Cannot "look through" a large and persistent oil shock; at this point caution is warranted.

Want to wait and see how this evolves before deciding on rate cuts for later this year.

Is making progress on taming structural inflation, which may be close to 2% now but is held higher by tariffs.

Do not think there is a need to consider rate hikes.

Market pricing has not shown a de-anchoring of expectations, investors understand inflation will drop as tariffs roll off.

If tariff effects don't roll off by second half of year it will be tricky.

A shock of the right sort could push companies to start cutting labor.

Consumer outlook could also be damaged with gas prices rising.

No reason to make bank reserves scarce just to reduce the balance sheet.

Proposals to change demand for reserves, and allowing the balance sheet to shrink, is a good topic for study and discussion.

If there are losses in private credit it is a bunch of firms and rich people.”

Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

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