BRL: Aggressive easing and currency risks – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Michael Pfister expects the Brazilian central bank to start its cutting cycle, with consensus looking for an initial move after a long hold at 15%. He sees scope for a 25 or 50 basis point cut and anticipates the pace to accelerate later in 2026. Commerzbank remains cautious on Brazilian Real strength given likely larger cumulative easing.
Brazil starts rate-cut cycle
"The Brazilian central bank will likely deliver the most exciting interest rate decision this evening. The consensus is quite clear that the rate cuts could finally begin now (only one vote was cast for unchanged rates)."
"However, with a key interest rate of 15% and a very active central bank, it is also quite possible that a 50-basis-point cut could be delivered right at the start."
"It is not that relevant whether it will be 50 or 25 basis points today though (the latter possibly due to the oil price shock, even though Brazil appears relatively well-insulated)."
"The scope for rate cuts is now there, and the pace is likely to increase to at least 50 basis points per cut over the course of the year anyway."
"We maintain our view that more rather than fewer rate cuts are likely, and therefore remain cautious regarding the strength of the BRL this year."
(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor.)
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
You may also like
The Shopify Stock Rally Isn't Done: Chart of the Week -- Barrons.com
By Doug Busch Shopify is no longer a pandemic-era growth story that simply failed to slow down. It is compounding at a pace few software platforms its size still manage. In the second quarter of 2026, sales on its platform rose 32%. That was the fifth straight quarter of growth exceeding 30%. Merchants are also using more of Shopify's own tools, from payments to Shop Pay, and new channels like AI shopping agents are starting to increase demand. The simple bull case is that the stock already commands a huge share of independent online commerce, and that position should become more valuable as more buying moves through its checkout. A rule of market mechanics is that the vast majority of an individual security's gain is driven by its underlying sector. Within technology, software has staged a robust recovery, joining semiconductors to power the broader sector higher. The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF has maintained an upward trajectory since its mid-April lows, though the advance from $74 to $112 has been choppy as bulls repeatedly stepped in to defend when necessary. Breadth across large-cap software has expanded significantly, with 24 constituents surging over 20% over the past three months. During that same three-month window, Shopify generated outstanding relative strength, advancing 36%, more than doubling the IGV's 17% gain over the same period. Expect the stock's outperformance to persist as software momentum broadens. Let's examine the daily and monthly charts to outline the technical drivers behind this thesis. Looking at the daily chart, the ratio chart against the IGV shows persistent outperformance extending back to mid-May. The stock is riding an eight-session winning streak, during which price action cleared a double-bottom-with-handle pivot at $151.39. Within this broader base, the stock recorded a bullish golden cross in late August and successfully filled its Sept. 10 price gap, tracing back to its Aug. 4 session, the day before a powerful earnings reaction sent the stock surging 17% hi
TRexBio: IPO Of 8.3M Shares Priced at $14.00 Each >TRXB
TRexBio: IPO Of 8.3M Shares Priced at $14.00 Each >TRXB
Talos Energy director Barbara J. Faulkenberry files initial beneficial ownership statement
Talos Energy director Barbara J. Faulkenberry filed an initial Form 3 statement dated Oct. 1, 2026. Disclaimer: This news brief was created by Public Technologies (PUBT) using generative artificial intelligence. While PUBT strives to provide accurate and timely information, this AI-generated content is for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial, investment, or legal advice. Talos Energy Inc. published the original content used to generate this news brief via EDGAR, the Electronic Data Gathering, Analysis, and Retrieval system operated by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (Ref. ID: 0001193125-26-418248), on October 08, 2026, and is solely responsible for the information contained therein.
Crypto prices
More
