Crude oil pulls back, probability of "crude oil reaching $100 before the end of March" on Polymarket drops 11% intraday
In the Polymarket prediction event "Will crude oil prices reach $100 before the end of March 2026," the probability for YES has dropped to 78%, falling 11% in the past 24 hours. The 24-hour trading volume for this event is approximately $800,000.
Tonight, international crude oil prices have retreated, with WTI crude falling below $94 per barrel, a daily decline of 5.40%. The previously aggressive narrative in the prediction market has eased somewhat.
Continue to monitor the prediction market; observe changes before pricing.
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
You may also like
Forex Today: US flash Consumer Sentiment and Canadian jobs in the limelight
Malaysian Ringgit: Fiscal anchor case – MUFG
Nasdaq Drops Over 300 Points After OpenAI's Revenue Comes In $20 Billion Short
BUZZ-Revolution Medicines stock drops due to concerns over pancreatic cancer drug data
On October 8, Revolution Medicines (RVMD.O) shares fell 8.1% in afternoon trading to $185.91. RBC Capital Markets stated that the share price decline appeared to be driven by the latest U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) review documents regarding the company's pancreatic cancer drug Rasonque, particularly the disclosure of objective response rate data for specific RAS mutation subgroups. RBC pointed out that overall survival, rather than objective response rate, is a more meaningful indicator of efficacy, and that the sell-off overlooked Rasonque's broad activity across a variety of RAS mutation subgroups. RBC stated: "While we acknowledge that today's share price decline takes place against the backdrop of overall weakness in the biotech sector, we still believe that the market's reaction to the FDA review documents is an overreaction, given that the drug was approved on the basis of highly clinically meaningful efficacy and has received positive feedback from physicians." Including intraday fluctuations, the stock has more than doubled year-to-date. (Note: For the convenience of non-English speakers, Reuters has automatically translated its reports into several other languages. Automated translations may be inaccurate or lack necessary context; Reuters does not guarantee the accuracy of these automated translations and provides them only for reader convenience. Reuters does not accept liability for any damage or loss arising from the use of automated translation features.)
