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Polymarket predicts the probability of a US-Iran ceasefire before April 30 has dropped to 36%

Polymarket predicts the probability of a US-Iran ceasefire before April 30 has dropped to 36%

AIcoinAIcoin2026/03/16 14:21
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Odaily Seer channel monitoring shows that the probability of a ceasefire between the US and Iran before April 30 on Polymarket has dropped to 36%, a decrease of 43% this month. After reaching a peak of over 75% in early March, this probability has sharply declined.
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路透社•2026/10/08 18:26