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European gas prices surge 60% as the Strait of Hormuz cuts off 20% of global LNG supply

European gas prices surge 60% as the Strait of Hormuz cuts off 20% of global LNG supply

汇通财经汇通财经2026/03/16 09:35
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⑴ On Monday, benchmark wholesale natural gas prices in the UK and the Netherlands continued to rise, as ongoing US-Iran conflicts continued to disrupt LNG exports from the region, while rising oil prices further provided support. Data shows that the near-month contract for Dutch TTF natural gas rose by 1.82 euros to 51.94 euros per megawatt hour. ⑵ About one-fifth of the world's liquefied natural gas typically needs to be transported through the Strait of Hormuz, but since the US and Israel began attacking Iran on February 28, shipping through this narrow passage has almost come to a standstill. Energy consulting agencies point out that 20-25% of global LNG supply has been cut off due to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, which has had a huge impact on the European gas market. ⑶ Since the outbreak of the conflict, the price of the near-month contract for Dutch TTF natural gas has risen by about 60%. Analysts say that with so much uncertainty, TTF prices seem to have found a balance at a relatively high level. ⑷ The US President said on Sunday that his administration is negotiating with seven countries to ensure the safety of the Strait of Hormuz and protect ships. He previously stated that the US Navy would "soon" escort oil tankers through the waterway, but no specific plan has been formulated yet. ⑸ On Monday, crude oil prices rose more than 2%, breaking through $105 per barrel, which is also positive for natural gas prices, as many LNG and pipeline gas contracts are linked to oil prices. In the European carbon market, the benchmark contract rose by 0.31 euros to 69.43 euros per ton.
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