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Investors worry that the Middle East conflict could lead to a resurgence in inflation, and the market is no longer fully betting on a Fed rate cut this year.

Investors worry that the Middle East conflict could lead to a resurgence in inflation, and the market is no longer fully betting on a Fed rate cut this year.

Odaily星球日报Odaily星球日报2026/03/12 15:23
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Odaily reported that bond traders are no longer fully pricing in expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in 2026. Interest rate swaps tied to the dates of Federal Reserve policy meetings show that traders on Thursday expected only a 24 basis point rate cut this year, less than a full 25 basis point cut, while Wednesday night's expectation was about 30 basis points. This shift comes amid a continued decline in U.S. Treasury prices, with the two-year Treasury yield—most sensitive to Federal Reserve policy changes—rising by 4 basis points to nearly 3.70%. U.S. Treasuries have faced pressure this week as investors worry that ongoing Middle East conflicts will continue to push up energy prices, potentially causing inflation to rise again. (Golden Ten Data)

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