21Shares analyst: Higher CPI data has already been priced into bitcoin

金色财经2026/03/12 01:59

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Jinse Finance reported, according to Cointelegraph, 21Shares analysts stated that the rise in CPI data has already been "digested" by the market, and bitcoin prices may have already priced in inflation expectations in advance. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics' February CPI report shows that overall CPI rose month-on-month in February, with energy up 0.6%, food up 0.4%, and core CPI up 0.2%. Analysts pointed out that the current focus is on how the Federal Reserve will respond to subsequent higher CPI data—whether it will "turn a blind eye" to this temporary shock, or take a hawkish stance as a precaution due to lessons learned from the previous inflation cycle. Analysts noted that bitcoin prices may currently be consolidating in the $68,000 to $74,000 range, and if the $75,000 resistance level is broken, it could enter a mid-term consolidation range between $75,000 and $80,000; historical data shows that bitcoin typically rebounds more than 15% after geopolitical market shocks, and if the FOMC resumes rate cuts in 2026, the recovery could accelerate. The CME FedWatch tool shows that only 0.6% of traders expect a rate cut at the March 18 meeting.

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Japan’s two largest securities firms expect the rally in the Japanese stock market to last a long time, through to 2027, but warn that a reversal in artificial intelligence (AI) investments could become the biggest potential threat. “Markets, share prices, and corporate earnings have all been strongly driven by AI investments,” Nomura CEO Kentaro Okuda said on Thursday. “If market sentiment towards AI shifts and this trend reverses, I believe it could pose a significant risk.” Akihiko Ogino, CEO of Daiwa Securities, expressed a similar opinion during the same discussion. Both executives forecast that the Nikkei 225 index will reach 80,000 points, though their timelines differ: Ogino expects the target to be achieved this year, while Okuda forecasts the index to reach around 75,000 points by the end of the year and surpass 80,000 by the end of 2027.

智通财经•2026/10/08 08:01

Japan’s two major securities firms warn that an AI investment reversal may become the biggest risk for Japanese stocks

ING Bank Netherlands Says Fed Rate Hike Expectations Support Continued Strength of the Dollar

ING analyst Chris Turner stated that the Federal Reserve's September meeting minutes indicate the Fed still expects another interest rate hike this year, which continues to support the US dollar. Currently, the money market has priced in a 25 basis point rate hike in December and further policy tightening expected in 2027. ING believes that the market's expectations for rate hikes are overly aggressive, but a significant correction is unlikely in the short term. In addition, last night’s US 10-year Treasury auction performed strongly, with a high bid-to-cover ratio and robust indirect demand, indicating that as long as yields are high enough, there remains strong market demand for US Treasuries. This has provided solid support for the US dollar and has further boosted it in a somewhat challenging investment environment. Elevated US Treasury yields and increased market volatility have led to capital outflows from arbitrage trades, significantly impacting most Latin American currencies. Given the recent situation in Europe, we expect the US dollar to maintain its upward trend in the coming months.

智通财经•2026/10/08 08:01