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Geopolitical conflicts trigger a safe-haven frenzy: global gold ETFs attract $6.2 billion in a single week

Geopolitical conflicts trigger a safe-haven frenzy: global gold ETFs attract $6.2 billion in a single week

汇通财经汇通财经2026/03/04 02:22
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(1) As the geopolitical conflict between the US and Iran continues to escalate, global investors are frantically pouring into gold ETFs. The latest data shows that weekly inflows into gold ETFs have reached $6.2 billions, marking the third consecutive week of net inflows. So far this year, the annualized inflow into gold funds has reached $148 billions, far surpassing last year's record of $101 billions. This wave of risk aversion stems from the direct threat that Middle East conflicts pose to global economic stability. By investing in gold ETFs, investors can hedge against inflation and uncertainty without bearing the storage costs of physical gold. Against the backdrop of expanding money supply and US Treasury debt soaring to $38 trillions, gold is seen as the ultimate tool for preserving value.(2) Asia, as the world's largest gold consumption market, is leading this round of risk aversion. Local investors have made gold ETFs their preferred hedging tool. Experts recommend allocating 10%-15% of precious metal ETFs in investment portfolios, with a focus on gold to enhance stability. In the first two months of this year, gold prices have far outperformed the stock market: after surging 64% last year, gold has risen another 18% so far this year, while the S&P 500 index has only gained 1%. Analysts believe gold is effectively hedging against soaring government spending, massive deficits, and economic uncertainty. Compared to physical gold, gold ETFs with high liquidity and low costs have become the top choice for most investors.(3) Legendary hedge fund manager Ray Dalio recommends allocating up to 15% in gold. However, experts also advise maintaining rationality: over the past 30 years, the annualized return of gold has been about 8%, lower than the S&P 500's 10.7%. Diversification remains key, and a 15% allocation to gold can provide protection in the current environment.(4) The head of market analysis at StoneX points out that although multiple factors are supporting gold and silver prices, both metals are currently in an overbought state and may need to correct in the short term. Currently, gold's RSI is close to 70, at the top of its upward channel. She emphasizes that investors should be wary of short-term volatility but not overly panic; unless the conflict escalates further, the market will enter a consolidation phase.
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