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Willy Woo: Market Front Running Quantum Threat of 4M Coins of Selling Pressure, BTC Price Action to Remain Depressed

Willy Woo: Market Front Running Quantum Threat of 4M Coins of Selling Pressure, BTC Price Action to Remain Depressed

BlockBeatsBlockBeats2026/02/16 05:40

BlockBeats News, February 16th, prominent analyst Willy Woo stated that Bitcoin's 12-year valuation trend compared to gold has recently been broken. BTC's relative valuation should have been higher, but in reality, it has not been achieved, mainly due to a risk awakening to quantum computing, causing the market to start pricing in potential issues in advance.


Bitcoin is likely to be patched in the future through quantum-resistant signatures, but this will not address the issue of around 4 million "lost" BTC (early lost private keys that could be cracked by a quantum computer) re-entering circulation. Willy Woo estimates a 75% probability that these lost bitcoins will not be frozen through a protocol hard fork, so the market needs to anticipate the 4 million coins' sell pressure.


Since MicroStrategy began accumulating BTC in 2020, the total accumulation of corporate and ETFs is only 2.8 million BTC. These 4 million lost tokens represent 8 years of corporate accumulation and will result in significant supply dilution. Before "Q-Day" (Quantum Computing Threat Implementation Day, expected 5-15 years from now), the price of BTC will continue to be affected by this cloud hanging over.

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