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Vitalik Buterin: Prediction markets should shift towards risk hedging rather than short-term speculation

Vitalik Buterin: Prediction markets should shift towards risk hedging rather than short-term speculation

Odaily星球日报Odaily星球日报2026/02/14 13:03
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According to Odaily, Vitalik Buterin posted on the social platform X, stating that current prediction markets are overly focused on short-term crypto prices and high-dopamine products such as sports betting, lacking long-term social informational value, which may result in unhealthy product-market fit. He suggested that prediction markets should be promoted in the direction of "risk hedging," making them tools to reduce asset or real-world expenditure risks. Buterin also envisioned building a stable mechanism to replace fiat currencies through personalized prediction market shares based on price indices, thereby providing users with more sustainable value hedging solutions. He called for the construction of a new generation financial system, rather than simply relying on speculative traffic.

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