Bitcoin Price’s Rise To $100,000 Will Warrant A Pit-Stop At This Level

Bitcoin has shifted into a corrective leg following its recent pullback, but from a market-structure perspective, the broader trend remains constructive. Price action is behaving more like a controlled retracement than a breakdown, fitting neatly within a higher-timeframe setup that historically precedes continuation. Bitcoin Profits Have Declined From a traders lens, the recent drawdown looks less like panic selling and more like weak hands being flushed out. Short-term sellers appear to be stepping aside, while larger and more patient participants are quietly repositioning. This rotation often marks the transition from late-cycle distribution into early accumulation, creating the conditions for a volatility expansion to the upside once liquidity rebuilds. On-chain data reinforces this narrative. Network-wide profitability has compressed meaningfully, with the share of Bitcoin supply in profit dropping from 75.3% to 66.9%. This move pushed profitability below the lower historical threshold around 69.1%, a zone that has repeatedly coincided with local price stabilization. When a growing percentage of holders sit underwater, sell pressure typically dries up, as the incentive to exit at unfavorable prices diminishes. Bitcoin Supply In Profit. Source: Glassnode Historically, dips below this lower profit band have acted as a reset mechanism, allowing price to form a base before the next impulsive leg higher. Although a brief, short-term bearish phase recently disrupted this pattern, current price levels are significantly lower than prior peaks. Long-term holder behavior further strengthens the bullish case. The Long-Term Holder Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (LTH NUPL) metric shows profits compressing toward levels that have historically altered holder behavior. Bitcoin LTH NUPL. Source: Glassnode When LTH NUPL drops below 0.60, long-term participants typically slow or halt distribution, choosing instead to wait for improved conditions. In previous cycles, this shift has marked the early stages of renewed accumulation and reduced sell-side pressure, allowing price to recover methodically. BTC Price Is Ambitious From a technical standpoint, Bitcoin price remains inside an ascending broadening wedge. Price recently bounced from the lower boundary of this structure and is now trading near $88,475. The immediate task for bulls is to clear $89,241 and reclaim the psychological $90,000 level. Acceptance above $90,000 would signal improving short-term momentum and confirm strength within the pattern. A confirmed breakout from the wedge opens the door for higher objectives. A move toward $98,000 is likely the first major milestone, followed by a healthy consolidation pullback toward $95,000 to establish support. This base would be critical before any sustained push toward the $100,000 mark. Bitcoin Price Analysis. Source:TradingView However, downside risk cannot be ignored. If selling pressure resurfaces or macro conditions worsen, a failure to hold current levels could send Bitcoin below $87,210. In that scenario, a deeper retrace toward $84,698 becomes likely, invalidating the bullish setup and postponing the breakout thesis.