Citi predicts a 17% return for US growth stocks in 2026

AIcoin2026/01/19 01:47

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Citi has released the "2026 Global Investment Outlook," predicting that U.S. growth stocks still have room for growth, with the expected return rate for S&P 500 growth stocks at around 17%, and the expected return rate for S&P 600 small-cap value stocks reaching 21%. In terms of monetary policy, the Federal Reserve may lower the policy rate to below 2.5% by 2026, while the European Central Bank is expected to keep its policy rate at 2% at least until 2027.

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According to data from the US Department of the Treasury, in the 12 months ending July this year, overseas investors made net purchases of US stocks totaling $942 billion, marking the highest rolling 12-month total since records began in 1985. The net purchases in the second quarter alone reached $426 billion, setting a new single-quarter record. Meanwhile, overseas demand for US Treasuries has noticeably cooled, with purchase volumes falling significantly. As a result, the US is facing higher costs in government debt financing.

华尔街见闻•2026/09/26 11:36