Michael Lorizio: If the unemployment rate rises by 0.1% each month, the Federal Reserve's rate cut potential is being underestimated

ChainCatcher News, according to Golden Ten Data, Michael Lorizio, Head of US Rates and Mortgage Trading at Manulife Investment Management, stated that the US inflation rate in November was significantly lower than economists' forecasts, and the unemployment rate unexpectedly rose. He pointed out that although the federal government shutdown caused some data distortion, there is limited room for current inflation data to significantly exceed expectations. If the labor market continues on a trajectory where the unemployment rate rises by 0.1 percentage points each month, the potential for further rate cuts next year may be underestimated.