Weak U.S. employment data may intensify expectations of a declining dollar
According to ChainCatcher, citing Golden Ten Data, strategists at Morgan Stanley stated in a report that if the upcoming U.S. employment data this week, as well as decisions from the European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan, result in interest rate differentials unfavorable to the U.S. dollar, the dollar may fall to new lows. If the non-farm employment report released on Tuesday is weak, it could further fuel market expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut rates again in the first quarter of next year.
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The inflation bill has arrived, and Wall Street is starting to discount the "profit feast" of American companies.
Wall Street analysts have lowered their US stock earnings forecasts for the first time in 23 weeks, ending the longest streak of upward revisions since September 2021. High inflation and rising energy costs are squeezing profit margins in sectors such as consumer, raw materials, and finance. The combination of pressure on corporate earnings (the numerator) and rising discount rates (the denominator) is exposing US stocks to significant valuation adjustment risks.
