The Federal Reserve's hawkish rate cut expectations have reversed, and the next rate cut may be in March.
According to ChainCatcher, citing Golden Ten Data, a research report from CICC stated that the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its December meeting as expected, but the number of officials opposing the rate cut increased to two, indicating that the threshold for further rate cuts is rising. Powell's remarks were not tough, and the Federal Reserve announced the launch of short-term Treasury bill purchase operations, easing market concerns. Looking ahead, the Federal Reserve is expected to continue cutting rates in 2026, with the next rate cut possibly in March.
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Under the dual pressure of energy and political risks, the euro has fallen to a near two-month low, with 60% of options traders betting on further weakening.
After the Federal Reserve raised interest rates, the euro fell to a nearly two-month low, with about 60% of options bets anticipating further weakness; energy concerns and political risks in Germany and France are adding pressure. Morgan Stanley is bearish, while Deutsche Bank expects the euro to fluctuate within a range.
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