Key takeaways:
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A week full of US macroeconomic reports could impact Bitcoin traders’ sentiment.
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Bitcoin’s rally could stall if there’s a sharp reduction in spot buy volumes.
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If PCE, the ISM PMI, and jobs data align with market expectations, BTC could rally.
Bitcoin ( BTC ) price could face a period of range-bound trading after managing a 10.37% rally over the past 7 days. Robust spot purchasing demand from Strategy , the spot BTC ETFs , and announcements from 21Shares and Coinbase played a role in Bitcoin’s rally to $95,700. With the exception of the April 28 announcement of a $1.42 billion BTC purchase from Strategy, a quiet week on the crypto news front could translate to a reduction in spot demand and lower support tests from Bitcoin price.
This week is also event-filled on the macroeconomic data reporting side. On April 29, the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) report will be published, and the data could provide insight into how the US-led trade war and tariffs are being digested by the labor market.
Job openings, hires, and separation rates, seasonally adjusted (JOLTS). Source: BLS.gov
On Friday, May 2, the jobs report will publish, and given the recent tariff-induced volatility, it's possible that the data could show a “real big pause in the economy.”
The Core PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) forecast will be released on April 30, and the data will give a clear view of any significant shifts in US inflation.
US Core PCE Price Index (MoM). Source: Investing.com
The United States ISM Manufacturing PMI data is released on May 1. Recently, the data reflects the fear businesses have experienced due to the US-led tariff war as they put their business planning on hold to see how things play out. Markets could react negatively if the report shows further deterioration in the ISM PMI.
US ISM Manufacturing PMI. Source: MacroMicro.me
Depending on the market context, traders tend to cut or add to risk during weeks chock-full of macroeconomic data. Given the downside market volatility seen throughout April, it seems more likely that traders will take the more cautious approach, reinforcing the earlier stated view that Bitcoin price could consolidate throughout the week.
At the time of writing, Bitcoin price trades slightly below $95,000, and since reaching the level on April 25, BTC has carved out a tight range between $93,000 to $95,500.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.
