ARK Invest Raises 2030 Bitcoin Price Target to as High as $2.4M in Bullish Scenario
What to know:
- ARK Invest’s revised 2030 bitcoin price target sees a range from $500,000 to $2.4 million, driven by assumptions on active supply and institutional adoption.
- BTC's recent rally to $93,000 is supported by declining exchange balances, with Glassnode showing a drop from 3 million BTC in November to 2.6 million BTC.
ARK Invest raised its decade-end bitcoin ( BTC ) price target to as high as $2.4 million apiece after revising its assumptions on active supply, which excludes lost or long-held coins. The largest cryptocurrency by market value was recently trading around $94,000.
The bull-projection figure, 60% more than its January 2024 estimate , reflects a 72% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from last December through the end of 2030. The base case estimates a BTC price of $1.2 million — a 53% CAGR — while the bear case projects $500,000, equating to a 32% CAGR.
David Puell, an analyst at the Cathie Wood-led investment company, used a model based on total addressable market and projected market penetration across several sectors. These include institutional investment, bitcoin’s role as "digital gold," its use as a haven in emerging markets, adoption for nation-state and corporate treasury holdings and on-chain financial services built on the bitcoin network.
In November last year, Puell targeted $104,000-$124,000 by year-end. Bitcoin ended December at $93,440 en route to hitting a record high of $109,000 in January before slumping to lows around $74,500 earlier this month.
The rally since then is partly driven by declining exchange balances, which indicate that more BTC is being withdrawn into private wallets, a sign of long-term holding behavior. According to Glassnode data, exchange-held BTC has fallen from approximately 3 million in November 2024 to 2.6 million, reinforcing the growing bullish sentiment around the cryptocurrency.
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
You may also like
U.S. Treasury Plans $6B Buyback; Yields Rise - 2nd Update
European stocks see biggest drop in two months! Oil prices break $100, triggering inflation warning; markets bet on four rate hikes by ECB and Bank of England
The Stoxx Europe 600 Index closed down 1.41% on Wednesday, marking the largest single-day drop since July. As Brent crude once again surpassed $100, traders bet on the European Central Bank and Bank of England raising rates by about 90 basis points each by 2027. On Wednesday, the yield on Germany's two-year bonds briefly rose to 3.08%, the highest level since June 2024. However, several analysts warned that current rate-hike pricing may be excessive, citing a lack of evidence for widespread inflation and noting that downside risks to the eurozone economy will limit the central banks’ room to raise rates.
XLM Bulls Build Toward $0.681 as Support Holds
Crypto prices
More
