10x Research: Polls show Trump has a greater chance of winning, while the Democratic Party still holds an advantage in key swing states

10x Research pointed out in its market analysis that Trump's probability of winning on Polymarket has dropped from 68% to around 59%, although he still maintains a slight lead in all swing states. The average bet value from RealClearPolitics shows Trump's chances of winning at 58.3%. Experts warn that this election is hard to predict, as the result may only depend on one or two key swing states. Despite polls showing Trump with a greater chance of winning, the Democrats may still have an advantage in these states.