The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 55%.

The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 55.0%, while the probability of a 50 basis point cut is 45.0%. The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by a cumulative 50 basis points by November is 32.1%, by 75 basis points is 49.2%, and by 100 basis points is 18.8%.