Eurozone PMI output price inflation cools down; institutions believe this weakens the case for a September rate hike, but the market still bets on a hike.
智通财经2026/08/21 11:36Show original
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- Berenberg Bank analysts pointed out that the eurozone PMI output price inflation has declined, service sector sales price inflation has dropped to its lowest point since March, and goods-side price inflation has also continued to ease. This data is favorable for European Central Bank policy makers.
- Institutional opinions believe that downward price pressures further reduce the necessity for the European Central Bank to raise rates again in September.
- Detailed data shows that the slowdown in output price inflation this round mainly comes from Germany.
- However, financial market pricing indicates that investors are betting on about a 95% probability of a European Central Bank rate hike in September, reflecting a divergence between institutional assessments and market trading expectations.
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